WASHINGTON (AP)– Facing clear political hazard, President Donald Trump will provide his second State of the Union address at a moment when his bully pulpit doubts and his negotiating skills in concern after a monthlong federal government shutdown that exposed fractures in his party and sent his poll numbers tumbling.

Trump intends to utilize his Tuesday speech to reset his agenda and begin to tailor up for his 2020 re-election project. However even as the president guarantees a style of unity, his performance is most likely to draw cheers from one side of the deeply divided Congress and stony silence from the other.

The split between Democrats and Republicans, each side dug in over Trump’s long-sought border wall, reinforces questions about his capability to move both Congress and the electorate.

All this while Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., sits just behind him on the top tier of the Home dais throughout the address, a looming reminder of his shutdown defeat and his struggles to adapt to a brand-new, divided Washington.

The speech itself, an annual set piece that offers the president a grand stage to speak directly to a national audience of millions, might prove bittersweet for Trump. While the president, ever the showman, will delight in the theatrics of the minute, his prime-time address to the nation comes a week later on than originally planned after Pelosi required a post ponement while the federal government was closed.

Trump made his dealmaking abilities central to his presidency however he has actually been not able to move emboldened Democrats, company in their resistance to spending for a border wall with Mexico. Without it, Trump has threatened to state a nationwide emergency or shutter the federal government once again. Both alternatives are opposed by a growing variety of Republicans, potentially leaving Trump compromised with his own party as numerous political dark clouds loom. Among them are the conclusion of the special counsel’s Russia examination and growing talk from the left about the possibility of impeachment.

” Presidents have actually strolled into that chamber in weakened positions prior to,” stated Jon Meacham, a presidential historian and author, invoking Costs Clinton after Republicans swept the 1994 midterm elections. “However Trump does not have the normal base of assistance. Legal Republican politicians fell in line with Trump since they were scared of him and his advocates and if that assistance is eroding, the end will be quick.”

Trump’s allies, some of whom worry that his voice has been diminished, suggest he should use the speech to display his administration’s record as well as repeat his require the wall.

” He needs to highlight the successes he’s had with the economy and trade and with conservative justices,” said former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. “And I believe he needs to stare Democrats down and challenge them to defy him on the need for border security.”

As the Feb. 15 due date that might lead the federal government to close once again nears, the State of the Union offers the president with his best chance yet to sell the general public on the need for the wall. Previous efforts at utilizing at the power of the workplace to make that case have stopped working.

A journey to the border didn’t move the needle after Trump himself voiced personal suspicion that it would work. An Oval Workplace address was extensively panned, with the president himself being his harshest critic, complaining to aides that he looked “flat” and “lifeless.” Round after round of polling recommends that Americans do not believe a wall is required and don’t feel it is a fight worth shutting down the government over.

White Home aides have kept details of the speech under wraps, though Trump is anticipated to paint a photo of a country on the resurgence while pressing brand-new trade deals in addition to propositions about drug prices, health care and public works.

But there will be stark suggestions throughout your house chamber that Trump’s political truth has actually changed, now 21 months before he faces citizens once again.

Pelosi will be noticeable in almost every camera shot beamed to a national broadcast audience. Her existence is evidence of the recently empowered House Democrats. And it explains how she can use her political clout and her celebration can wield the power of the subpoena to ward off Trump’s agenda and open investigations into his federal government and service.

” It’s a vibrant created in the tv age but it’s also a presentation for the country that the executive and legislative branches are separate however equal powers,” stated Jennifer Palmieri, former interactions director for President Barack Obama and a leading assistant on Hillary Clinton’s 2016 project. “And an extremely effective female who has a big hand in controlling his fate might be very distracting to him.”

In the chamber will be several Democrats vying to replace Trump and rising celebration stars such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York. Some Democrats will be flanked by invited visitors, including individuals affected by the shutdown, and their presence is suggested to highlight Trump’s vulnerability.

As for the president, he ignored the departments in Washington as he promised to use his speech to require Americans to set aside their differences.

” I actually believe it’s marriage, I believe it’s market, I believe it has to do with individuals you see here,” Trump said Thursday while hosting a group of makers at the White Home. “I truly think it’s going to be a speech that is going to cover a lot of area but part of it is going to be unity.”

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EDITOR’S NOTE– Jonathan Lemire has actually covered politics and the White Home for The Associated Press since 2013.

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Follow Lemire on Twitter at http://twitter.com/@JonLemire

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