A survey of most likely general election citizens reveals President Donald Trump beating three out of 4 possible Democrat presidential prospects.
The survey likewise shows that if former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz makes a run as an Independent, he is much more of a drain on the Democrat prospect than on Trump.
Without Schultz on the tally, previous Vice President Joe Biden beats Trump by seven points; 50 percent to 43 percent, with seven percent uncertain.
With Schultz in the race, the race tightens with 45 percent choosing Biden, 43 percent choosing Trump, and six percent going for Schultz.
Head to head, Trump squeaks out a single point lead versus Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), 45 percent to 44 percent (12 percent undecided).
With Schultz in the race, Trump beats Harris by four points, 42 percent to 38 percent. Schultz earns 7 percent of the vote.
The poll did not take a look at head-to-head competitions between Trump and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) or previous Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX), however with Schultz in the race, Trump beats Warren 42 percent to 39 percent; Schultz earns 8 percent.
Trump wallops O’Rourke 42 percent to 33 percent; Schultz earns 9 percent.
As of now, Schultz has relatively high name recognition (48 percent), but just 18 percent view him favorable, while 40 percent view him unfavorably.
The Republican Celebration overall polls better than Democrats, with 39 percent selecting the GOP to “lead the country forward,” against 37 percent who state the same about Democrats. Only 19 percent desire a third choice.
Those polled are practically evenly divided on the problem of developing a wall at the southern border. A plurality of 48 percent oppose the wall, while 46 percent wish to see it developed.
Medicare for all is a loser; a plurality of 42 percent oppose it, with just 36 percent supporting “replacing our existing healthcare insurance coverage system with Medicare for all.”
Fortunately for Democrats is that, at least according to this survey, in Biden they have a candidate who can beat Trump. The bad news is that Biden has actually already made 2 governmental runs and flamed out both times. Biden is an awful presidential candidate, vulnerable to gaffes, bizarre outbursts, and getting a little handsy with the ladies, including with children.
In this #MeToo period, there is no way Biden can run a national project without being haunted by these images.
As a successful vice presidential prospect in 2008 and 2012, the spotlight was not on Biden, and then there is the age issue: the Serial Young Girl-Toucher turns 78 in 2020.
Biden is likewise up versus the Democrat’s activist base, which is desperate to run a lady or minority (preferably both) and leave the era of white males in the past.
An issue for Trump is that his greatest number of assistance in any of these surveys is 45 percent. An incumbent should be ballot, at the minimum, in the high forties if he wants to feel excellent about re-election.
But Trump won the presidency in 2016 with just 46.1 percent of the national popular vote (to Hillary’s 48.1 percent), and as much as he might like to break 50 nationally, the president understands this is a state-by-state dogfight for electoral votes; he knows winning Pennsylvania is the essential to a 2nd term, not the popular vote.
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